From another site- He is now a service, but posts the Sunday & Monday night games free at another site (He had Miami last night).
PHILADELPHIA –3 Minnesota 49
0-1-0/1-0-0 17-48
The best game of the week saved for the last game. And, what a game it should be. Nothing too surprising about last week’s offensive performance by Minnesota, where they gained 7.7 yppl, 4.9 ypr and 11.6 yps. Also, nothing surprising about their defense, which gets lost in all of their offensive performances, by allowing 5.8 yppl, 3.4 ypr and 6.9 yps against a below average Dallas defense. For Philadelphia, what was surprising, was how good their offense was. Yes, they faced a bad Giants defense, but their offense looks to be clicking on all cylinders this year, averaging 7.0 yppl, 5.2 ypr and 8.7 yps. They should be able to destroy the Minnesota defense with this offense. Take away an ‘oh by the way’ 72 yard run by Tiki Barber when the game was over, and Philly only allowed 5.3 yppl rather than the 6.4 yppl. Over their last seven regular season home games, Philly has scored at least 24 points and Minnesota has allowed an average of 33 points per game over their last 14 road games against above average offenses. The Philly defense does seem to be below average this year but it is still better than the Minnesota defense and their offense isn’t too far from Minnesota’s offense. This game qualifies in a terrific under situation, which is 54-18-2. My final numbers suggest about 48 points being scored giving us slight value but I can’t go under in this game because of both below average defenses and above average offenses. Philly qualifies in an outstanding momentum situation, which is 67-24-6 and a Monday night situation, which is 61-30-2. Minnesota qualifies in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 532-407-33, including subsets, which are 430-302-24 and 325-218-17. That situation works well in week two but the only reason Minnesota qualifies in it is because of Barber’s long run last week, which caused this situation to apply. After a few games, that run wouldn’t have mattered but with limited attempts, it does matter. The point here is I don’t put quite as much stock in that situation for Minnesota this week, while Philly still qualifies in two other solid situations. Final numbers also favor Philly by about five points. Not quite strong enough to play but definitely a lean to Philly in this game. PHILADELPHIA 27 MINNESOTA 20
PHILADELPHIA –3 Minnesota 49
0-1-0/1-0-0 17-48
The best game of the week saved for the last game. And, what a game it should be. Nothing too surprising about last week’s offensive performance by Minnesota, where they gained 7.7 yppl, 4.9 ypr and 11.6 yps. Also, nothing surprising about their defense, which gets lost in all of their offensive performances, by allowing 5.8 yppl, 3.4 ypr and 6.9 yps against a below average Dallas defense. For Philadelphia, what was surprising, was how good their offense was. Yes, they faced a bad Giants defense, but their offense looks to be clicking on all cylinders this year, averaging 7.0 yppl, 5.2 ypr and 8.7 yps. They should be able to destroy the Minnesota defense with this offense. Take away an ‘oh by the way’ 72 yard run by Tiki Barber when the game was over, and Philly only allowed 5.3 yppl rather than the 6.4 yppl. Over their last seven regular season home games, Philly has scored at least 24 points and Minnesota has allowed an average of 33 points per game over their last 14 road games against above average offenses. The Philly defense does seem to be below average this year but it is still better than the Minnesota defense and their offense isn’t too far from Minnesota’s offense. This game qualifies in a terrific under situation, which is 54-18-2. My final numbers suggest about 48 points being scored giving us slight value but I can’t go under in this game because of both below average defenses and above average offenses. Philly qualifies in an outstanding momentum situation, which is 67-24-6 and a Monday night situation, which is 61-30-2. Minnesota qualifies in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 532-407-33, including subsets, which are 430-302-24 and 325-218-17. That situation works well in week two but the only reason Minnesota qualifies in it is because of Barber’s long run last week, which caused this situation to apply. After a few games, that run wouldn’t have mattered but with limited attempts, it does matter. The point here is I don’t put quite as much stock in that situation for Minnesota this week, while Philly still qualifies in two other solid situations. Final numbers also favor Philly by about five points. Not quite strong enough to play but definitely a lean to Philly in this game. PHILADELPHIA 27 MINNESOTA 20
